Friday, July 31, 2015

Bin Laden Family Members Killed In Jet Crash In England

LONDON, July 31 (Reuters) - A private jet crashed in southern England on Friday, killing four people on board, a spokesman for Britain's Hampshire police service said, and Saudi and British media said the passengers were relatives of deceased al Qaeda leader Osama Bin Laden.

A spokeswoman for the British police told Reuters: "There were no survivors, unfortunately. There were four people onboard including the pilot," but she did not provide their identities.

Without confirming the identities of the victims, the Saudi Ambassador to Britain, Prince Mohammed bin Nawaf Al Saud, offered condolences on the embassy's official Twitter account to the bin Laden family, a prominent Saudi Arabia clan with vast business interests.

"His royal Highness Prince Mohammed bin Nawaf bin Abdul Aziz, the ambassador of the Custodian of the Two Holy Mosques to the United Kingdom, offered his condolences to the sons of the late Mohammed bin Laden and their relations for the grave incident of the crash of the plane carrying members of the family at Balckbushe airport," he said in the tweet.

The Saudi embassy said it was working with British authorities to investigate the incident and to ensure the speedy handover of the bodies for funerals and burials in the kingdom.

The Saudi-owned al-Hayat newspaper, citing a statement by the Saudi General Authority of Civil Aviation (GACA), said on its website that the Embraer Phenom 300 with three passengers and the pilot crashed during takeoff from Blackbushe airport.

The statement did not identify the victims, but some Saudi media suggested on social media or on their websites that they were relatives of Osama bin Laden, who was shot dead by U.S. forces in Pakistan in 2011.

It was not immediately possible to confirm the reports.

British media, including the Daily Mail website, said the plane had been carrying relatives of Osama Bin Laden. It said the plane was registered in Saudi Arabia and had originated in Milan, Italy.

The Hampshire police service spokesman said an investigation into the causes of the incident had been launched. (Reporting by Andrew Osborn and Kate Holton and Mark Hosenball in the UK and Sami Aboudi in Dubai, Editing by Ken Wills)

Gigato Tries To Make Internet Access Affordable With Data Rebates

For many people in developing countries, the cost of data incurred by using social networks, sharing files, watching videos and playing games makes such activities prohibitively expensive. But if the idea behind a new startup catches on, "data back" programs might become the new cash back reward programs for mobile users around the world. When people who have downloaded the Gigato app use other apps from Gigato's partners, they'll earn mobile data that can then be used for emailing, web browsing or anything else they want. 

Gigato was built by Mavin, a startup based in Silicon Valley and India. The five co-founders of Mavin include Shailesh Nalawadi, a former Google engineer who worked on Street View, Maps and Glass, and Raina Kumra, a former filmmaker and federal government contractor whose clients have included the State Department and the Broadcasting Board of Governors.   

"In emerging markets, cheap devices are proliferating, but the cost of access is not dropping fast," Nalawadi told The Huffington Post. "There's a coming crunch with cost of data and how that impacts engagement. We thought it would be a problem two years ago, and that's now borne out: Consumers in emerging markets are rationing data consumption."

Prepaid data in emerging markets is relatively inexpensive, at least by U.S. standards. Two gigabytes of 3G data in Delhi, for instance, is about $8 from Airtel. In the States, two gigabytes of prepaid 3G data costs $25 from AT&T. But the average income in India is just $31 a week, with many workers earning between $2 and $3 a day -- which means the cost of data remains prohibitive. 

In markets like India, Brazil and many African nations, a lot of people prepay for data, just as they do for minutes. As a consequence, they have to budget for what they might use in a given week. Each time they use voice or data, the telecom company reminds them of the remaining balance. The result is that people are on a constant "data diet," always needing to be mindful of how much they have left.

"Until the cost of data comes down, there needs to be some sort of solution that bridges the cost gap," said Kumra. 

Mavin is not the only startup pursuing this sort of model in India. Whenever users of the mCent app try an app or service, they get data that they can use elsewhere. This approach to giving people free data has proven to be popular: According to Forbes, mCent now has 30 million users worldwide and its parent company, Jana, is profitable. 

Gigato, which has launched on Android devices in India, is an interesting experiment to get people online in a sustainable way. It could potentially make it possible for millions of people to use apps from startups that would otherwise face populations constrained by expensive prepaid minutes. Where Facebook is testing drones and Google is lofting balloons, Gigato is essentially letting app developers invest in getting their future customers online.

"As we started thinking broadly about who the other players are for whom consumer rationing data becomes a problem, app developers are the next most critically affected," Nalawadi said. "That's how we got to think about the model we're in right now: Businesses could have the budget to pay for a solution to this problem."

Gigato charges app developers for the ability to facilitate this transaction, with options to pay per user or per installation. While mobile consumers are key for the model to work, Mavin is focused on the makers of apps as potential customers. To that end, they're thinking about how to eliminate any biases in how partner apps are displayed in Gigato, randomizing the order the partner apps are shown in.

"Our goal is to get a fully sponsored data plan for every person," said Kumra, "so that they never have to pay for data again."

Kumra and Nalawadi are acutely aware of the furor over Internet.org and net neutrality in India, where Facebook is working with telecommunication companies to provide free data for a selected set of services. So-called "zero rating" or sponsored data plans have been deemed incompatible with net neutrality laws and regulations around the world, although the Federal Communications Commission hasn't decided where it stands with respect to regulations that came into force this summer. 

"In true zero-rating, while the goal is a good one, there are troubling aspects to what it means in long run," Nalawadi said. "Gigato brings the benefits without the net neutrality implications. What we do is give data as a rebate rather than zero rate up front. When we can see that you used an app, we give cash back in form of megabytes. It has never been illegal to give them coupons."

Kumra agreed, saying that being a violator of net neutrality is of zero interest to Mavin.

"We designed this product so that it did abide by rules, regulations and traditions of net neutrality as we understand them to be," she said. "The apps they get credit for are the ones they ended up using. If you get 150 MB, it can be used on any service, browser, music streaming app or the music streaming app's competitor. We are not favoring channels." 

Rumors Over Jalalludin Haqqani's Death Swirl, Family Denies

WANA/PESHAWAR, Pakistan July 31 (Reuters) - Family members on Friday denied reports of the death of Jalaluddin Haqqani, founder of the fearsome Haqqani militant network blamed for some of Afghanistan's deadliest suicide attacks.

Haqqani, in his 70s, is reported to have been in ill health in recent years and has given up most day-to-day control of his Taliban-allied militant network to his son, Sirajuddin.

Two other family members insisted Haqqani was not dead after Pakistani media reported his demise.

"Maulvi Jalaluddin Haqqani, no doubt, has become aged and suffering from different diseases but by the grace of Allah, he is safe and sound and alive," a close family member said.

However, a third member of the family said the reports were true. Haqqani "died of a brain hemorrhage a year and half ago. He is buried in the Zadran area of Khost province," this person told Reuters.

The contradictory reports come a day after the Taliban confirmed that its founder Mullah Mohammed Omar had some time ago, signifying a major shift in Afghanistan's militant leadership. The Afghan government said he died in 2013.

Mullah Omar's replacement, Mullah Akhtar Mohammed Mansour, appointed Sirajuddin Haqqani as his deputy, underscoring the links between the Afghan insurgency and the Haqqani network, who are believed to be close to Pakistan's feared Inter Services Intelligence.

The Haqqanis have been blamed for some of the most spectacular attacks against American targets in Afghanistan, a raid on Kabul's top hotel, an assassination attempt on then-President Hamid Karzai and a suicide bombing at the Indian Embassy.

(Additional reporting by Saud Mehsud in Dera Ismail Khan; Writing by Katharine Houreld)

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Heat Wave Brings Scorching Temperatures To The Middle East

This year is shaping up to be one of the world's hottest -- and dangerously so.

In May, a heat wave in southern India -- with high temperatures between 45 and 48 degrees Celsius (113 and 118 degrees Fahrenheit) -- killed 750 people over five weeks. In June, a heat wave in the southern Sindh province of Pakistan claimed over 1,200 lives with a high of 45 C.

Now the heat is on in the Middle East. Temperatures from Iraq to the United Arab Emirates have soared to above 100 F in an unprecedented heat wave, The Weather Report said on Friday.

The region is also susceptible to high humidity, which can make people feel even hotter. In the city of Bandar Mahshahr, Iran, the temperature reached 43 C (109 F). But coupled with the humidity, residents are actually experiencing a temperature of 68 C (154 F), The Independent wrote. 

The heat in Iraq was so overpowering that the government declared a mandatory four-day holiday starting Thursday to keep Iraqis indoors, The Associated Press reported.

But with over 14 million Iraqis displaced by conflicts across the country, coupled with chronic power and water cuts, cooling down won't be easy. Many refugees, with neither a home nor sufficient access to water, are suffering from sunburns and severe dehydration, AP reported.

On Friday, Falah Mustafa Bakir, the foreign minister of Iraq's autonomous Kurdistan region, expressed concern for the 1.8 million Syrian and Iraqi refugees currently seeking shelter in Kurdistan.

"Just imagine [the situation] for those who are in the open air facing dehydration," he said at a reporters briefing in Washington. "We have been calling for a summer-ization program, together with the U.N., but we did not receive enough funds."

Bakir said Kurdistan appreciates the U.S. financial support for the refugees, but said Washington's donations were not enough to meet the needs of the growing refugee population.

The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change projected in 2013 that the areas of the world experiencing heat waves would double in size by 2020 and quadruple by 2040.

Also on HuffPost:

  • An Arab man cools off under a waterfall at the Gan HaShlosha national park in Israel on July 30, 2015.

  • Iraqis displaced by conflict collect water at al-Takia refugee camp in Baghdad, Iraq, on July 30, 2015.

  • Air conditioners and power generators, which are selling for anywhere between $200 and $80, are display on a street in Baghdad, Iraq, on July 30, 2015.

  • Palestinian children cool off in a makeshift plastic pool in Beit Hanoun, Gaza Strip, on July 30, 2015.

  • People buy blocks of ice in Basra, Iraq, on July 30, 2015.

  • Iraqis displaced by conflict walk to collect water at al-Takia refugee camp in Baghdad, Iraq, on July 30, 2015.

  • People cool off at the Gan HaShlosha national park in Israel on July 30, 2015.

  • A man dives into the Shat al-Arab river to cool off in Basra, Iraq, on July 30, 2015.

  • People buy blocks of ice in Baghdad, Iraq, on July 30, 2015.

  • People cool off at the Gan HaShlosha national park in Israeli on July 30, 2015.

Ahead of Strategic Dialogue, Egyptian Authorities Take Further Steps to Restrict Independent Human Rights Organizations

On the eve of the U.S.-Egypt Strategic Dialogue, scheduled to take place in Cairo on August 2, the Egyptian authorities are demonstrating that they have not been paying attention to the broader efforts to counter violent extremism advanced by the Obama Administration in recent months.

Instead of protecting space for independent civil society organizations to operate freely, the Egyptian government has stepped up its harassment and disruption of the legitimate activities of human rights organizations.

During his recent visit to Kenya, President Obama repeatedly emphasized the importance of human rights and providing space for independent civil society organizations to operate freely and to criticize government policies as essential elements in effective counterterrorism policy. These remarks outline the U.S. government's recent efforts to embrace a broader approach to cooperation in the area of counterterrorism and countering violent extremism, going beyond military responses and cooperation between security forces to emphasize rule of law, respect for human rights, and space for civil society and peaceful dissent.

"If in reaction to terrorism you are restricting legitimate organizations, reducing the scope of peaceful organization, then that can have the inadvertent effect of actually increasing the pool of recruits for terrorism and resentment in communities that feel marginalized," said President Obama last week.

On July 30 the Egyptian authorities notified the Hisham Mubarak Law Center (HMLC), one of Egypt's leading independent human rights organizations, that it is under investigation by a judicial committee. This is a continuation of a sustained pattern of harassment and intimidation directed against independent civil society organizations and non-violent government critics in Egypt. This has included detention and prosecution of staff members, forced closure of organizations, travel bans and even death threats against prominent activists.

Ironically, the judicial investigation relates to a notorious case that resulted in the closure of the Egypt offices of several leading U.S. based human rights organizations, and to the prosecution of 43 of their employees, including 16 American citizens. The case sparked strong protests from Washington when it was initiated in 2011 and when the sentences were imposed in 2013.

The decision to move against the HMLC immediately prior to the strategic dialogue suggests that the Egyptian authorities will not be receptive to any concerns about human rights and the need to respect the free operation of civil society organizations that the U.S. government may raise in the course of the dialogue.

Nonetheless, Secretary Kerry should not simply overlook human rights concerns during the strategic dialogue. The United States will undermine its own credibility if it is seen to be changing its messages on human rights and the importance of free, independent civil society to suit its audience.

What was right for the President in Nairobi should also be right for Secretary Kerry in Cairo. Secretary Kerry must point out to his Egyptian interlocutors in the course of the dialogue that Egypt's partnership with the United States is harmed by violations of human rights, including by efforts to restrict the activities of independent civil society organizations like the HMLC.

Litvinenko Lawyer Accuses Putin Of Personally Ordering Former Spy's Murder

LONDON, July 31 (Reuters) - Russian President Vladimir Putin is a "tin pot despot" who personally ordered the 2006 poisoning murder of ex-KGB agent Alexander Litvinenko in London, the lawyer for his widow said on Friday.

Kremlin critic Litvinenko, 43, died three weeks after drinking green tea laced with radioactive polonium-210 at London's plush Millennium Hotel, shortly after obtaining British citizenship.

British authorities say there is evidence to try Russian suspects Andrei Lugovoy and Dmitry Kovtun for murder. From his deathbed, Litvinenko accused Putin of ordering his killing.

Both Russians deny the charge and the Kremlin has rejected any involvement, dismissing the validity of the British inquiry into Litvinenko's death that caused Anglo-Russian relations to sink to a post-Cold War low.

On the closing day of the inquiry that began in January, Ben Emmerson, lawyer for Litvinenko's widow Marina, listed several reasons he said pointed to Russian responsibility for Litvinenko's death.

Polonium is rare and nearly exclusively made in Russia, which has a history of political assassinations, he said.

Lugovoy had contact with corrupt Kremlin figures, he said, and launched a political career as a Russian parliamentarian after the murder. He and Kovtun also had no personal motive for killing his client.

Emmerson said Litvinenko, who the inquiry was told was working for British security services, produced diligence reports for western companies that linked Putin and his associates to criminal gangs.

These had led to deals being canceled, he said. Litvinenko had also passed some of them to Lugovoy, whom he trusted as a businessman.

 POLONIUM TRAIL

"If the Russian state is responsible, Putin is responsible," Emmerson said. "He personally ordered the liquidation of an enemy who was bent on exposing him and his cronies."

Russia has accused the inquiry of showing disregard for international as well as Russian laws

Emmerson said scientific evidence linking Kovtun and Lugovoy to traces of polonium detected around London proved beyond doubt that they were responsible.

Tests of the sink in the bathroom of Kovtun's room at the Millennium Hotel revealed quantities of polonium that could only be achieved by direct contact with the rare isotope.

Emmerson said that on the day in March when the inquiry heard evidence he argued clearly showed Kovtun's involvement, Putin awarded Lugovoy a medal of honor for services to the Motherland.

It was part of Moscow's attempts to manipulate and intimidate the inquiry, he said.

"It was a crass and clumsy gesture from an increasingly isolated tin pot despot, a morally deranged authoritarian," he said, referring to Putin.

Marina Litvinenko, who pressured Britain into holding the inquiry that will report its findings before Christmas, said the truth had finally been uncovered.

"My husband was killed by agents of the Russian state in the first ever act of nuclear terrorism on the streets of London and this could not have happened without the knowledge and consent of Mr Putin," she told reporters.

(Additional reporting by Gabriela Baczynska in Moscow; Editing by Tom Heneghan)

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Thursday, July 30, 2015

Striking Photos Of The Life-Changing Special Olympics Clinic

LOS ANGELES (AP) -- They arrived in Los Angeles by the thousands to run, jump and swim and to play such team sports as soccer and softball.

This week, however, Special Olympics athletes from around the world also are taking part in what could be called the Eye, Ear, Nose and Throat events.

Tucked into a corner of the University of Southern California's sprawling campus is a makeshift medical clinic that seemingly sprouted overnight. There, hundreds of doctors, dentists and other health care providers are working to ensure thousands of athletes go home with clean bills of health - or the closest thing to them that can be produced in a week. A few athletes will even leave with the ability to hear for the first time.

Contrary to popular belief, people with intellectual disabilities, including those who compete in the Special Olympics, do not get better medical care than others, said Zabi Mansooky, director of the Healthy Athletes program. Many get worse care. Some get no care at all.

"About 24 percent wear shoes that are too small - and they compete in those shoes," said Mansooky as he showed visitors through the warren of tents and vans where Special Olympics athletes are being examined.

 As he spoke, a steady stream of yellow school buses, each adorned with the Special Olympics logo, continually jammed a small campus street as they disgorged athletes by the hundreds.

"About one out of every five or six athletes is coming in with dental pain," Mansooky said as he entered the dental clinic tent.

 Like all the other tents, it was filled shoulder-to-shoulder with athletes and their coaches, many chatting happily and loudly in a cacophony of languages as they waited to see their health care providers.

As the athletes progressed from one tent to the next, an army of volunteer doctors, dentists, optometrists, audiologists and other professionals worked feverishly, performing eye exams, ear exams, foot exams and other checkups.

With the help of translators, optometrists asked, "Which is better, Number 1 or Number 2?" Dentists kept busy cleaning, filling and sometimes yanking teeth. On-the-spot root canals were performed when needed.

"You have oral pain, and you can't eat, you can't sleep, it takes over your whole life," said Dr. Richard Mungo, the dental clinic's cheerful director.

Nearby, at the ear clinic, athletes had their ears cleaned, then waited to enter soundproof booths to have their hearing tested.

"On Sunday, 21 athletes received hearing aids for the first time in their lives, including three who couldn't hear at all until they got the hearing aids," said John Ohanesian, director of medical services for the 2015 Special Olympics.

One of the first was a young basketball player from India who was born without ear canals.

"She could hear right away," audiologist Dennis Van Vliet said with a smile as he described fitting her head with a device that allows the inner ear to pick up vibrations and transmit them as sound to the brain.

 At a patio table just outside the clinic, Icelandic soccer player Thor Haklidason and about a dozen of his teammates reviewed the printed-out information they were given by physical therapists who had just tested their strength, endurance, flexibility and other physical skills.

"We need to stretch a little bit more," the muscular, 25-year-old team captain said with a sheepish smile.

 Otherwise, said Haklidason, he and his teammates were passing each checkup with flying colors. That's save for the sunburns several were sporting on a sunny, 85-degree Los Angeles day.

"It's a little hotter here than we're used to, yes," the Reykjavik resident said with a laugh.

Although organizers hoped to examine all 6,500 athletes before the Special Olympics end Aug. 2, they weren't sure how many would show up when they opened the clinic Sunday.

The first day, they treated 977, the next day 1,247. Those numbers had them scrambling Tuesday to order more hearing aids, eyeglass frames and other items that are being donated by health care companies.

"At the Special Olympics in Korea four years ago, they treated 1,600 athletes," Ohanesian said. "We've already blown past that in two days."

By the end of the day, each athlete would leave with a goody bag filled with such items as an electric toothbrush, one or more pairs of glasses, and a new pair of sports shoes.

"This has been really good for our athletes. Getting glasses are a big problem for our people, and now they have them," said Akani Brou, who coaches the Ivory Coast swim team. "And after this, when we leave, we know they'll be really healthy."

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Even Cristiano Ronaldo's Practice Moves Are The Epitome Of Cool

Just look at this man. Sure, it's just a guy doing a simple stretch, the same one I do in the morning to get my legs ready for a day of sitting down. But because it's Cristiano Ronaldo, the photo has unmistakable wafts of superiority coming off of it. 

Whether it's cranking out push-ups or finding iPhones, you just get the feeling that Ronaldo does even the most basic of things better than you ever could, which, fortunately for us commoners, is the same feeling he gives his Real Madrid teammates during routine warm-ups. Nobody is immune to Ronaldo-induced insecurities -- not even his all-star teammates. 

The latest example comes from China, where Ronaldo is playing on a team preseason tour. During practice, he controlled a sky-high pass and then flicked a no-look ball to a teammate while waving at the crowd. It was very chill, the epitome of cool. 

Is Ronaldo a showoff? Yes. Does the coolest footballer alive sometimes do uncool and vain things, like hiring a hairstylist for his wax statue? Yes. But such is life when you're already the coolest footballer alive. 

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Truck Slams Into Religious Procession In Central Mexico, Killing 16 And Injuring Dozens

MEXICO CITY (AP) â€" Mexican officials say 16 people are dead and 30 injured after an out-of-control truck that lost its brakes slammed into a religious procession in central Mexico.

The government of the north-central state of Zacatecas said in a statement that the accident occurred in the town of Mazapil.

A heavy truck carrying building materials lost its brakes on the town's main street Wednesday afternoon. It slammed into a pedestrian procession of local Catholics.

Such processions are common in Mexico to celebrate a saint's day or special religious occasion. They often walk on roadsides to local shrines.

There was no immediate information on the condition of the injured.

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Wednesday, July 29, 2015

When Ukraine Is No Longer Ukraine

DONETSK -- The queue stretched for one and a half kilometers. It is hard to wait in a traffic jam when you are running away from war. When people in Semenivka heard the fighting was coming to their hometown, most of them decided to flee. One year later, Semenivka looks like the fairyland of mice, riddled with buildings like swiss cheese castles.

"All our belongings were destroyed. We don't have bed linen, we don't have a fork, we don't have a spoon."

Natalya Beskorovana's words, a 35-year-old from Semenivka, condense the everyday reality of the majority of Ukrainian refugees or internally displaced persons.

While the fighting in Ukraine is placed in some sort of quarantine in the East, life in other parts of the country is moving along almost undisturbed. Peace and war are enjoying a more than strange cohabitation, so the true impact of the conflict is far from being obvious. The numbers can take many people by surprise: at the of end of June 2015, one year after the war started, there were over 1.35 million internally displaced people in Ukraine, ranking the country 9th worldwide in terms of IDPs. There are over 900,000 refugees to the neighboring countries and the estimated number of people in need of humanitarian aid reaches 5 million. People face shortages in food, health services, shelter and medicines, which are in worryingly low supply in Ukraine.

"We used to have animals before the war, pigs, chickens and ducks. And a vegetables garden. How can I explain it to my child that we don't have anything anymore?" Natalya Beskorovana complains.

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Semenivka, Donetsk Oblast is one of towns that has been severely damaged as a result of separatist forces being pushed back by the Ukrainian army after two months of occupation.

* * *

World's unseen refugee crisis

At the UNHCR distribution center in Kramatorsk, a town about 100 km north of Donetsk that was last shelled in February this year, the stacks await like every other morning. Outside, some 20 people line up in the sun to get their turn at blankets, bed linen, candles, pots, diapers and some clothes. But only if they carry the document proving they really are IDPs.

In order to get the IDP status and thus be eligible for some benefits from the state and from humanitarian organizations, people need to register with the Ukrainian social protection department. Actually receiving it may take months. The process faces many other challenges as well. Short distance displacement is one: people move from their destroyed home, but because they do not leave to a different administrative unit than the one specified in their internal passport, they cannot become IDPs. Another is when the conflict moves: there are areas around the frontline which the government does not recognize as territories not under its control and does not include them in the official decree stating the origin towns where IDPs come from, so people running from these areas can't receive the status and benefits. It is also the case for students and unaccompanied minors, who cannot register without the presence of their legal guardian.

"Of course we need more help; we hope for displacement benefits and money for the child, as now we are really in need," says Oksana a 32- year-old from Kirovske, Donetsk Oblast.

She is holding the hand of her 7-year-old daughter, Anastasia, and carrying Maxym in her arms. Maxym is only 3 months. She was sick at the time she was close to deliver, so Oksana could not leave Kirovske, Donetsk Oblast earlier to come give birth here, in Kramatorsk. Now, she has to go to court to apply for Maxym to be admitted as a Ukrainian citizen, as he was not born on Ukrainian territory. It is the only way they can receive the post-birth benefits. She remembers how she found out she was pregnant:

"The first time we went to the basement to shield ourselves from the shelling, I felt sick. This is how I realized I was going to be a mother again. We spent three weeks and a half in the basement. After that, the gas, water and electricity were cut in the city."

Now, Oksana and her family live in a one room rented flat. It is all they can afford. The rent has gone up big time, but there are also many cases of locals renting their flats to IDPs for free. They only have to pay for the utilities.

Further in the queue, Iryna Pridhodko finds the strength to joke about the situation:

"I want to marry a foreigner and move to a different country. I am kidding -- she feels the need to point out -- I love Ukraine."

The young 29-year-old woman arrived in Kramatorsk on Nov.1, 2014 after the big explosion in Donetsk. In order to go back and visit her mother who stayed in Donetsk, she needs a frontline crossing pass. She paid 1,000 hryvnia and got it in two days, when the official way can take up to one month, maybe even more. Iryna's patriotic feelings are very strong. She cannot understand how people back home can hate Ukrainians so much:

"I had some problems with friends who stayed in Donetsk. When I went outside for a walk with my kid, there was nobody on the street I could talk to, because we have contradictions in our views. It is very unpleasant for me to listen when they say that in Ukraine all people are bad. I have never heard people in Ukraine saying that all living in occupied territories are bad. Some people there really hate Ukrainians. I even had arguments with my parents as well. This was not the case before this conflict started."

"Of course there are arguments between people," says Andrej Nicolaevich, a civil activist. "Families got separated due to divergent opinions on this matter."

ukraine6

Viktor, 49, left his house in Semenivka, Donetsk Oblast when the heavy fighting started. When he came back, it was all ruined.

People in Semenivka argue about rebel fighters' tombs. On the side of the road, where separatists were killed, some people placed crosses and other religious symbols. Others wonder if it is alright to have such "monuments" for them. "Of course, people were killed. But they were not ordinary people, they were separatists," some locals think.

At the end of an almost deserted street, a cloud of dust starts taking shape. The gravel makes way for the bicycle wheels. A man in his late 40s hops down and props his bicycle against a green metallic gate. Its green color is spotted by black and rusty holes. Recent ones. Behind the gate, a broken armchair reigns in what once was Viktor's living room.

"I have left when the fighting broke out," he said. "When I came back, it was all ruined."

The separatist forces occupying Semenivka for two months dug their trenches right in front of his home, some 200 meters away. With Ukrainian army positions set 2 kilometers away on the same direction, his house was directly in the line of fire.

"The situation was quite good under the rebels," Viktor recalls. "There was order and they only occasionally asked for some clothes. We were not waiting for anybody to liberate us, we don't want anybody."

There is some bad blood as well between Oksana Korchma and the army. The 45 year-old then living in Myrnoe, a suburb of Slavyansk, is convinced the shelling that destroyed her house came from the Ukrainian army's positions. And imagine this: it happened just three days before the city was liberated on July 5, 2014.

"Such a pity, just three more days and the war would have been over. During those two months of occupation, we lived in a peaceful place. Nothing happened," Oksana sighs thinking about last year's events.

Oksana and her husband have 10 minors in their care, three are their own children and seven are adopted. When the shelling started, she was in her nightgown. They went to the basement to take cover and did not even realize the house above them was burning.

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On July 2, 2014, three days before the city of Slavyansk was liberated, the house of Oksana Korchma was burned. She and her husband take care of 10 minors, out of which seven are adopted.


"It is miracle we are alive. Sadly, the house is destroyed, but we are happy to have survived. Our dog is also alive, but our parrots died."

Oksana recalls the terrifying moments following them getting out of the basement, how she had to walk barefoot through the mined field, in her nightgown, holding the family dog in her arms fearing the mines.

* * *

ukraine2

People passing through a military checkpoint near Slavyansk, Donetsk Oblast. The number of military checkpoints in eastern Ukraine increases more and more as you approach the front line.


The town with twice as many IDPs as locals
The ideological arguments between people are not the only ones tearing families apart as a result of this conflict. Olga Ovsyanykova's husband stayed back in Donetsk while the family fled to Svyatohirsk. He has a job there, working at a railway station and it is the only way he can make some money to support his family, Olga and their epileptic daughter, Tanya. In Donetsk, they lived very close to the airport, the epicenter of fighting. When the water and electricity were cut, Olga decided to take her daughter to a safe place. They first went to Syedove in the southern part of Donetsk region, close to the Azov Sea, then to Novoazovsk before settling in Svyatohirsk.
Svyatohirsk is a small town, 30 kilometers north of Slavyansk. In better days, it used to be a resort town. Not so much these days. Now, almost all the strangers in the town are IDPs, not tourists. Mayor of Svyatohirsk for eight years, the independent Alexandr Dzyuba says that his town hosts over 10,000 IDPs, while the population is 5,000 people. During tense periods with intense fighting in the East, there were more than 15,000 displaced here. Dzyuba believes that the reasons for which IDPs choose this town is because Svyatohirsk has never been occupied and there's an orthodox monastery here, an important factor for many, in the mayor's opinion.
The Svyato Uspeska (Holy Mountains) Lavra is an orthodox monastery under the Moscow Patriarchate. It is also the place where many IDPs were given shelter. Elderly Galea, 78, from Avdiivka is one of them. Head covered and clad in long skirt-dresses, as required by the monastery's code, Galea rests on a bench during her evening walk. The old woman lost her husband shortly after the fighting in Avdiivka started. His health severely deteriorated because of the shelling and he died. She feels good in the monastery, has free food four times a day, the people are hospitable, she does some work in the kitchen, but she misses home.

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The orthodox monastery in Svyatohirsk provides shelter for refugees. The resort town, with a population of 5,000 people is now home to 10,000 IDPs (according to the mayor).


"I've spent 60 years of my life there. All my memories are from that place. All my things stayed there. I just miss the place I have lived in."
Not all her memories from Avdiivka are pleasant though. The most recent ones, with her younger 13-year-old nephew flat on the floor, completely afraid of windows breaking and walls moving because of the shelling, are certainly not among them.
It is terribly hot in the tiny two-room apartment that Olga and her daughter now occupy in the Holy Mountains collective center for IDPs. Boiling steam relentlessly comes out of the electric kettle Olga is using every time she needs to cook something. Tanya is obsessively pulling on each and every member of the orange plush teddy bear she holds in her arms.
"It is next to impossible to find a job here. The unemployment rate is so high. Besides, I could not even hold on to a job as I need to stay and take care of Tanya."

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Olga Ovsyanykova and her daughter Tanya, in their two-room apartment in the Holy Mountains collective center for IDPs in Svyatohirsk.


Svyatohirsk, as a resort town, has no plants, no productive units that can create jobs. There are only shops. Many locals leave the city in search of a better future in other towns. So the only opportunities for IDPs are the temporary summer jobs.
The needs of the internally displaced are changing with time passing. In the beginning, they only needed safety, shelter and some food. Now, one year into the conflict, the challenge of integrating them in the communities they found refuge in arises. But how far this can go does not have only economic implications related to the possibility or lack of possibility to create new jobs, but also political implications. What comes to mind is whether integrating the IDPs could symbolize giving up on Donbass.
For the time being, locals have a rather positive attitude towards the IDPs.
"It is ok with me. I feel sorry for those people who had to leave their homes. They find themselves in an unusual and very difficult situation," says Valentyna, a young local woman working in a grocery store.

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Valentyna Chupikova, 78, in her room at Holy Mountains monastery in Svyatohirsk. She came here from Avdiivka, 14 km from Donetsk, after the huge shelling that took place on Jan. 25, 2015.


Iryna thinks alike. She is a 43-year-old housewife, born in Donetsk but married in Svyatohirsk
"These people are scared. They have to come here where it is safe and quiet, they have no other choice."
How these relationships between the locals and IDPs will evolve if the conflict is prolonged, how will competing for jobs feel in towns already struggling with high unemployment rates, remains to be seen. Meanwhile, the Ukrainian solidarity is something to look up to.
"It was good in Ukraine when it was Ukraine," Iryna adds in a nostalgic tone.

* * *

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Ukrainian IDPs watching TV in a collective center in Sviatohirsk. Around 150-200 people live now in this center.


Hoping for the return home
The psychological effects of this war are obvious. And they're not only apparent in Kramatorsk kindergarten -- shelled twice -- where children are ducking to the floor when they hear loud noise. They're also apparent in the tales of families who lost everything and are being constantly mentally challenged. Thousands of families have fled their besieged towns, moved among strangers and now they are confronted every day with the choice of whether to start fresh, rebuild their life in this new place or wait for the war to be over and the possibility to return home.
For some, though, the return home depends not only on the war ending, but also on its outcome. It is the case of Julia Lomakina, a 39-year-old IDP working as a volunteer at the UNHCR distribution center in Kramatorsk.
"The only case in which I could return home to Donetsk after the war is over is if it is still Ukrainian territory. It is the only way. I don't understand the values of Donetsk People's Republic and I can't live with them."
The majority of the displaced want Donetsk and Luhansk regions to stay in Ukraine. Others though, fed up with war and homesick, end up saying this is not important anymore:
"Of course we want to stay in Ukraine. We were, are and want to be Ukrainians. But we just want peace, and if it will be different, it does not matter, because we just want to have bright blue sky and no shelling. I want to go back home, not to Russia, but home," says elderly Galea from Avdiivka.

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Oksana, 18, in front of the UNHCR distribution center in Kramatorsk. She ran away from Krasnyi Luch, Luhansk Oblast and plans to raise her 1.5 month-old child in Kramatorsk.


Olga Ovsyanykova is homesick too. She says "I miss my home" with sorrow in her voice and starts to cry. Olga hopes and even believes that the two regions will be again in Ukraine.
"Russia doesn't need us. If you compare to Crimea, they needed Crimea. They took it, but gave people pensions, benefits, citizenship. They showed they are ready and willing to embrace them. As for Donetsk and Luhansk, they don't need us."

A Much Needed New Economic Paradigm For Algeria

Co-written by Samy Boukaila, Visiting Scholar, Center for Transatlantic Relations SAIS and one of the Founders and Treasurer of CARE, Algeria

Algeria is lately facing a dramatic setback to its ambitious plan to build a modern nation and economy with its large infrastructure investment program, like all countries that rely heavily on oil and gas. Algerian annual revenues have fallen by 50 percent since the second quarter of 2014. This fall in oil and gas revenue will drop even more, from $15.6 billion to $8.7 billion, due to a 9 percent drop in export volume compared to the same period last year. For the first time since the late 1990s, the total balance of payment has accumulated a staggering deficit of $10.72 billion against the small $98 million deficit Algeria had at the same period last year. The deficit is expected to reach $30 billion by the end of 2015.

The global recession, China's growth slowdown, and the sluggish European economy, along with the jump in oil supply from the U.S. shale oil producers pushing Saudi Arabia and OPEC not to reduce the world's supply, caught the Algerian government off-guard. It also made painfully clear that the government lost much time before it engaged the economy toward industrialization and diversification.

The reminiscence of the economic crises in the late 1980s, which forced Algeria to request IMF assistance with hefty social costs of structural readjustment, led later to the worst period for independent Algeria, the Islamist fundamentalist terrorism period that plunged the country into great uncertainty for the entire decade. This war trauma seems today to be the best engine to move the country towards significant reforms much needed to diversify economy from heavy oil and gas dependence to agricultural and consumer goods industrial development, accompanied with significant R&D spending to support these sectors.

CARE and NABNI - Prominent Algerian Think Tanks Advocating Reforms

With the sudden fall in revenues acting like an electric shock, political leaders in Algeria came out publicly to share the news with the nation. It resulted in the Bank of Algeria now publishing stats quarterly, in local media a steering campaign for government to stop wasteful and futile imports, and make the courageous decision to move the nation toward a self-sufficient and added-value-producing economy. Many years of work by think tanks Cercle d'Action et de Reflexion autour de l'Entreprise (CARE) and Notre Algerie Batie sur de Nouvelles idees (NABNI), producing a number of studies and proposals for economic reforms, can come in very handy to the Algerian government in this effort. The just-published Complementary Financial Law of 2015 was an opportunity widely expected in Algeria to address and include major changes much advocated by CARE and NABNI, yet the final document ended up with timid adjustments, leaving out heavy reforms that could really turn around the current economic paradigm, not sustainable any longer. Here is the outline of seven main reforms that the Algerian government needs to address eventually.

Reforms Algeria Should Adopt

  • Re-arrange social subsidies that cost the government an estimated $24 billion this year, according to the Ministry of Finance budget forecast. (From 1999 to 2012, subsidies totaled $156 billion.) The "social nest" that started with the IMF structural readjustment of the 1990s should be reinstated to target subsidies for the most vulnerable population and not for the entire Algerian society.
  • Review the investment models for infrastructure projects, largely supported by short-term government funds instead of long-term investment funds, a PPP model, or stock exchange long-term engineered funds (government bonds). Long-term investments should be financed by long-term funds only.
  • Revision of the "51/49" Law for Foreign Direct Investments (FDIs), enabling foreigners to own more than 49 percent of company shares in Algeria. The government should restrict this rule to only sectors considered strategic. Algeria would benefit from foreign companies passing on best practices and from the transfer of much needed technologies.
  • Privatization of publicly owned companies will allow a drastic reduction of Treasury support for the publicly owned companies that cost Algerian taxpayers $61 billion dollars since the late 1970s and an additional $13 billion planned by the Ministry of Industry this year.
  • Reforming and privatizing a financial sector dominated 95 percent by public banks. Algerian banks need modernization and more diversified portfolios to offer, besides short-term trade financing that boosts imports but also increases export of Algerian consumer goods. Privatization, partial or total, allowing foreign capital to enter and exit the stock exchange, reforming and simplifying exchange control, and allowing a gradual full convertibility for the Algerian dinar (DZA).
  • Improving the bureaucracy, business environment, transforming the public administration to serve economy and companies, and not the other way around.
  • Fiscal reform is the biggest of all. With an informal economy claiming about 60 percent of the Algerian economy, a simplified, more comprehensive, and less coercive fiscal system will allow the largest part of the economy to come to light and contribute significantly to the government budget, aiding fair competition and transparency.

"Reforming the education system is also crucial. We must create conditions to be able to educate top notch managers that will take over privatized public companies and transform them into profitable ventures," said Slim Othmani, a prominent Algerian businessman and president of the CARE think tank. Algeria has the means to break away from its current economic paradigm as a sole export revenue country, and to engage the creation of a diversified, industrialized exporting nation. The country has almost 40 million people, with close to 80 percent below age 30. This is a historic opportunity for Algerian leaders to seize the momentum and build a stable and long-term prosperous nation for the benefit of all Algerians, but also for the benefit of the entire region. The clock is ticking. Let's hope they really do it soon.

5 Lessons I Learned About Writing from the Girls of Gugulethu

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Sisters Sive and Olwethu in Gugulethu. (Credit: Kimberly Burge)

When I went to South Africa in 2010 to lead a creative writing club for teenage girls, I made sure to emphasize that word: club. I had never taught writing before, didn't have a teaching assistantship as I earned an MFA in nonfiction. I would not be correcting their grammar, nor assigning homework. Besides, how could I persuade girls to spend their Saturday afternoons in a writing class?

As it turned out, they did not need persuading. Every week for a year, anywhere from four to 22 girls showed up at a community center in Gugulethu, a black township about 10 miles outside Cape Town and a place where schools often lack libraries. The girls would spend a couple of hours writing, reading their words aloud, and listening to their peers do the same. I offered a prompt -- a word or phrase, a question, a poem or song lyrics -- to get them going. Then everyone would write for a set amount of time, whatever came to mind, wherever the prompt led. This forum was meant for the girls to discover what they had to say, what they thought and believed. It was a chance for them to hear their own voices.

I knew early in this undertaking that I would use the experience to write my first book, a narrative nonfiction account of these girls growing up as the first post-apartheid generation. South Africans call them the "born frees." The book would incorporate the girls' prose and poetry. That's another reason I wanted to form this club. I wanted to find out what they believed, how they saw themselves, their country, their generation, all in their own words. Then it fell to me as the book's author to make these girls and their stories come alive on the page for readers.
The lessons I took from our Saturdays together -- and from the time I spent with many of them outside the club -- traveled home to Washington, D.C., with me as I wrote the book [The Born Frees: Writing with the Girls of Gugulethu, W.W. Norton, August 2015]. Five ideas in particular carried me forward:

1. Listen.
I knew that writers learn how to write dialogue best by eavesdropping. That was easy to do in this case; I can listen to South Africans talk all day. The country has 11 official languages, and each produces its own distinct accent when English is spoken. Most of these girls learned Xhosa as their mother tongue, and English when they went to school, an education denied many of their parents and grandparents under apartheid. The girls would also pepper Xhosa words into their conversation. I might not understand what exactly they were saying, but I saw the ease with which they flowed between languages, the ways they were bridging their country's cultures. By listening to where writing took them, I also learned the deep stories they held inside and sought to tell. Months after I met her, when I offered the writing prompt, "I wish someone had told me....," I learned that Gugu, the bounciest of 16-year-olds, still grieved the father she had lost two years earlier, something she hadn't mentioned.

2. When inhabiting another's life on the page, honor particulars and reach for universal.
By the time I met her when she was 18, Annasuena had lived a life I could only imagine. She was born to a mother who was a famous pop star, who would be the first South African celebrity to announce she was HIV positive, and who died when her daughter was 10. Annasuena grew up shuffling between homes and families who were sometimes not her own. She is now HIV positive herself. None of these experiences mirrored my own, and yet I felt like I understood this girl. I recognized her swings between bravado and despair. She rolled her eyes at anyone or anything she found ridiculous, as I did at her age. (As I sometimes still do.) When we were together, Annasuena would keep up a running monologue. She had so much to say, and few available to listen. I knew that feeling as well. Whenever I lost my place in writing the book, I returned to Annasuena's story. There I found my footing again.

3. Learn when to be a critic and when to be a champion -- of your own work, too.
Sharon, the eldest in our group at 20, took naturally to these roles. For a few weeks I asked for volunteers to read their writing out loud, until Sharon made it compulsory. This was not a workshop; the girls didn't pick apart one another's writing. But she wanted to see each girl own her work, her words. Sharon would be the one likely to push a girl to say more, write more, as we talked together in our circle following each reading. She could also sense when a girl needed encouragement. With my own writing now, I listen to Sharon's rich voice urge me to dig deeper. I also recognize the days when I need to hear her -- hear myself -- say, "Well done," for just putting words on the page.

4. Find courage equal to that of your protagonists.
I did not set out to write a memoir with this book. But I'm in the story, and so readers needed to know more about me and my life, why I ended up in South Africa in my early 40s leading a writing club. As publication day draws near, I'm fighting off pangs of fear at feeling so exposed. Perfect strangers will now know some very personal things about me. Worse, so will friends, colleagues, acquaintances. I felt these fears as I wrote sections of the book. I nearly cut many sentences in order to protect myself. But I had already asked these young women to expose their lives to me so I could, with their permission, tell their stories to others. I write about girls who have been raped by family members, who struggled through depression, who returned to abusive boyfriends. I owed them nothing less than the same microscope on my own life, as thorough an examination of my motivations and failings, my secrets, as I asked of them. Their bravery in telling their stories heightened my own.

5. Help another find her voice and you just might find your own.
Eighteen-year-old Ntombi hated hearing herself talk. She has a gravelly voice that can be difficult to hear until you grow to know and understand her. She held out longest against her friend Sharon's order that everyone read aloud. But over the months, Ntombi couldn't stop herself. She had things to say, and her voice grew loud and strong. Her hand often shot up first to volunteer to read. Writing a first draft, for me, usually feels like torture. I try too hard and force out words that sound nothing like what I would write. But like Ntombi, I had to overcome cringing at the sound of my voice on the page. I believe this is a book I was meant to write. So I kept going and my voice began to grow on me, began to sound like me. Some days, I even liked it.

At our first meeting the girls brainstormed for a name of the writing club. They came up with Amazw'Entombi -- "Voices of the Girls," in Xhosa. A friend pointed out how close "amazwi" sounds to "amazing." From the beginning, the girls of Gugulethu chose their words well.

Yet Another Group Is Suing Uber Over Its Worker Policies

The United Kingdom is now the latest front in taxi groups' war against Uber.

GMB, a powerful union representing professional drivers, said Wednesday that it planned to take legal action against the ride-hailing service for its refusal to provide basic employee benefits to drivers, whom the company classifies as independent contractors. 

The group called on Uber to pay drivers the national minimum wage -- 6.50 pounds, or about $10.18 for people 21 and up -- and provide paid vacation time. GMB also insisted that Uber enforce rest breaks and cap a driver's number of billable hours to avoid safety concerns due to exhaustion. The union also wants Uber to create a system in which drivers can contest complaints or accusations of inappropriate behavior that, until now, have led to suspension or account deactivation -- effectively firing them. 

"We believe that it’s clear from the way Uber operates that it owes the same responsibilities towards its drivers as any other employer does to its workers," Leigh Day, the lawyer representing GMB, said in a statement. "In particular, its drivers should not be denied the right to minimum wage and paid leave."

So far, Uber has been sued by taxi unions or associations in almost every major city it has entered, including Boston, Chicago, New York and Seattle. 

"Operators like Uber must understand that they have an ethical and social policy that matches societies’ expectations of fair and honest treatment," Steve Garelick, the secretary of GMB Professional Drivers Branch, said in a statement. "For far too long the public have considered drivers as almost ‘ghosts.'"

GMB's demands echo a June ruling by the California Labor Commission, which found that the company owed money for costs incurred by an Uber driver while shuttling around customers in the car she owned. Uber -- which could lose up to $209 million if forced to reclassify its California drivers as employees -- is appealing the decision. 

“One of the main reasons drivers use Uber is because they love being their own boss," Uber spokeswoman Trina Smith told The Huffington Post in an email. "As employees, drivers would drive set shifts, earn a fixed hourly wage, and lose the ability to drive elsewhere as well as the personal flexibility they most value."

Britain is far from Uber's only battle.

Last week, the firm -- which, eying a $50 billion valuation, is the second-most valuable startup in the world -- called a truce with New York City Mayor Bill de Blasio after a vicious public spat over a proposed cap on the number of Uber drivers allowed to register in the city.  

In April, Uber sued the city of Houston to block the release of public records that would, among other details, reveal the number of drivers it has licensed there. The company argued that such information would give its competitors an edge.

In France last month, Uber suspended its service uberPOP after protests by taxi drivers, who claim the company is undercutting their business, turned violent in Paris. The service was temporarily blocked in Germany in March and in Spain last December. After a woman accused one its drivers of rape last December, the city banned Uber.  

Israel Approves New Settlement Homes Amid Standoff With Settlers

JERUSALEM (AP) -- The Israeli Prime Minister's office said Wednesday it has approved the "immediate construction" of 300 housing units in the West Bank settlement of Beit El and has advanced plans for 504 new housing units in Israeli settlement areas in east Jerusalem.

The announcement came amid a standoff in Beit El, where Israeli settlers clashed with Israeli forces as authorities began to demolish a contested West Bank settlement housing complex there. Israel's Supreme Court ruled Wednesday that it must be demolished.

The Israeli government had fought the ruling and made efforts to legalize the complex, under construction without prior Israeli authorization. The Supreme Court rejected a petition to overturn the court's initial ruling to demolish the complex, and ordered the demolition be completed by Thursday.

The military has declared the complex a closed military zone and removed protesters holed up there.

Tempers are high among some in the settler community as it marks a decade since Israel's "disengagement" from the Gaza Strip, when Israel in the summer of 2005 withdrew all its civilians and soldiers from all of the settlements there and in a number of West Bank settlements.

Israel initially promised to build the 300 housing units in Beit El three years ago, when Israel ordered the removal of other buildings constructed on private Palestinian land.

The other announced housing units are throughout Israeli areas in east Jerusalem. Israeli leaders say these are inseparable neighborhoods of Jerusalem which will remain a part of Israel under any future peace agreement, but the Palestinians considers them settlements and says construction there is illegal settlement activity, a position backed by the international community.

Israel captured east Jerusalem in 1967 and annexed the area in a move that is not recognized internationally.

5 Men Sentenced To 697 Years Behind Bars For Killing 11 Women In Ciudad Juarez, Mexico

MEXICO CITY (AP) â€" Mexican prosecutors announced Tuesday that they had won "historic" convictions and sentences of 697 years in prison against five men for killing 11 women near the border city of Ciudad Juarez.

The state prosecutor's office in Chihuahua state said the men lured women with the promise of jobs, but instead subjected them to human trafficking and forced prostitution before killing them.

A statement from the office called the sentences on charges of aggravated homicide and human trafficking "exemplary and historic."

Ciudad Juarez, which is across from El Paso, Texas, was the scene of a series of eerily similar killings of more than 100 women beginning in 1993. Those possible serial or copy-cat killings, with similar victim profiles and killing methods, appeared to taper off by late 2004 or early 2005. Many of those crimes remain unsolved, and none are connected to the current case.

In this case, the victims' skeletal remains were found dumped in 2012 in fields in the Juarez valley, east of the city. The remains were so decomposed that authorities originally thought there were 12 victims. Most were young.

Prosecutors followed the trail of victims, many of who disappeared in 2009 or 2010 after having gone to apply for jobs at stores, to a hotel in Ciudad Juarez where the women were apparently held and forced to work as prostitutes. The culprits allegedly killed them when they became troublesome.

Also on HuffPost: 

Tuesday, July 28, 2015

Missing Teen Fishermen Strayed From Route Before Boat Capsized

TEQUESTA, Fla. (AP) -- Two teens whose lives were intertwined with the sea remained lost in the Atlantic on Tuesday, as their families and authorities tried to maintain hope against the fading odds of their survival.

The Coast Guard pressed ahead with a fifth day of searches for the boys while their families coordinated air searches of their own, insistent that Perry Cohen and Austin Stephanos were competent seamen and athletic young men who still could be found alive. But the relentless hunt by sea and air turned up no clue where the 14-year-olds might have drifted from their capsized boat, and the potential for finding them alive dimmed.

"As time goes on, certainly the probability of finding someone alive does decrease, but we're still within the timeframe where it's definitely possible to find somebody alive," said Coast Guard Chief Petty Officer Ryan Doss, noting others have survived days or even a week at sea. "We know it can happen and we're hoping it happens again."

The boys grew up on the water, constantly boated and fished, worked at a tackle shop together and immersed themselves in a life on the ocean. Perry's family said he learned to swim before he took his first steps. And though some questioned why the boys were out boating alone, others defended their families and said such independent teen outings are commonplace among those with a passion for the water.

Clive Botha, a neighbor and friend of Perry's family, said his own children took a boat out alone as teens and cruised local waterways, even as he forbade them from the deep ocean waters.

"We always told our kids to not go out of the inlet, but kids will be kids, you know?" he said. "I get goosebumps. In my heart, they could have been my kids."

Perry's stepfather, Nick Korniloff, said his stepson was supposed to remain on the Loxahatchee River and the Intracoastal Waterway during the outing with his friend, as they had numerous times before. Although they clearly ended up in the ocean waters, Korniloff said he didn't believe the boys were heading to the Bahamas, as some have speculated.

"It's a bit of a surprise to see, for us, that they went offshore," Korniloff said.

The saga began Friday, when the boys were spotted buying fuel about 1:30 p.m. A line of summer storms moved through the area later that afternoon and when the teens didn't return on time, the Coast Guard was alerted at 5 p.m. and launched its search. The 19-foot boat was found overturned Sunday off Ponce Inlet, more than 180 miles north of where the boys started their journey. The search has continued, day and night.

The boys may be reaching the boundaries of human survival, but with many unknowns, anything remained possible.

Laurence Gonzales, the author of "Deep Survival: Who Lives, Who Dies, and Why," said the very vague rule of thumb is humans can stay alive three minutes without air, three days without water and three weeks without food but examples of defying that abound. The longest someone has been known to survive in the open ocean without water was about five days, he said, but whether the boys had supplies, wore life jackets or are clinging to something could help.

"People will constantly surprise you," said Gonzales, an author of four books on survival whose own father was a World War II pilot who survived being shot down. "You'll think, `Surely this guy is dead.' And you'll go out and there he will be alive."

Dr. Claude Piantadosi, a Duke University medical professor who authored "The Biology of Human Survival: Life and Death in Extreme Environments," agreed, saying the obstacles were steep but the teens could still be alive. The variables, he said, are countless: Could they have clung to a cooler, perhaps, or used it to capture rainwater? Could they have avoided the threat of sharks or other marine life? Could they fight their own thirst and thoughts of drinking the salt water?

"Even though the odds are against them, I certainly wouldn't call off the search," he said.

Piantadosi is a former Naval officer and avid boater and diver. He sees dehydration as the biggest threat to the teens and says if they have no water, they are fast reaching the edge of survivability.

"Every hour that passes at this point," he said, "the chances go down."

The Coast Guard said crews would continue focusing on waters off northern Florida and southern Georgia overnight Tuesday into Wednesday. The families pledged a $100,000 reward in the search and numerous friends and strangers took to planes searching for clues, though the Coast Guard discouraged such private searches. A sighting of an object off the Georgia coast prompted a brief flurry of interest, but it was found to be unconnected to the teens.

Though the boys' boat was overturned, it did not appear damaged. One life jacket was found near the boat. It was unclear how many life jackets had been on board, nor was it known what other supplies they had.

Water temperatures were warm and not cited as a factor in the boys' survival.

Florida requires minors to have boating safety instruction to operate a boat of 10 horsepower or greater, but no licenses are issued. Korniloff said both boys had completed the course.

Here's What's Behind ErdoÄŸan's New Airstrikes -- And Why They Could Backfire

Turkish policies towards the Middle East have been in wild oscillation over the past many weeks, even months. Ankara has now finally and begrudgingly initiated military action against ISIS in cooperation with the U.S. But it has also initiated air attacks against its former Kurdish negotiating partners. Just what is going on? There may not be any coherent strategy, but the following seem to me to represent the key issues driving policy.

At the top of the list is President ErdoÄŸan and his quest for political survival. After the rebuff to the ruling AKP Party in the June elections that caused it to lose its majority in parliament, ErdoÄŸan is now desperately trying to recover, find a reliable partner for a coalition government and, in its absence, to force new elections next month in the hopes of recouping his majority. Given the growing impression of growing loss of coherency at the top levels of the Turkish government, it is something of a gamble that the AKP could achieve a better electoral outcome next month. Indeed the AKP may well emerge yet weaker.

"ErdoÄŸan has irresponsibly turned his back on negotiations with the PKK."

That said, the AKP's best chance for a coalition partner is the nationalist MHP, which opposes negotiations with the PKK (the armed Kurdish nationalist movement) or any cooperation with the PKK's ally in Syria, the YDP. A decade ago, the AKP initiated encouraging and historic negotiations with the PKK; observers had every good reason to hope for a major breakthrough on this ethnic issue that has plagued Turkey almost since its birth. But domestic politics have intervened and ErdoÄŸan has now irresponsibly turned his back on these negotiations and even begun military operations against the PKK again, probably putting an end for some time to any hope of reconciliation. Such aggressive steps delight the nationalists in the MHP, now a key potential coalition partner. In sum, short-term and short-sighted AKP electoral politics are destroying aspirations for vital national reconciliation.

ErdoÄŸan has another good reason as well to sabotage his own early pioneering efforts at Kurdish reconciliation: with the improving political environment of a few years ago, for the first time, a Kurdish party, the Peoples's Democratic Party, reached for national status as a true liberal party beyond simple Kurdish nationalism. It was that party that took away crucial votes from the AKP in the last elections and ErdoÄŸan has blood in his eyes.

The second key factor is Ankara's disastrous Syrian imbroglio. ErdoÄŸan's current obsession with overthrowing the Assad regime in Syria represented an abrupt reverse of a decade of warm and brotherly relations with Syria. No AKP foreign policy failure can equal the Syrian disaster: it has intensified the butchery in Syria's savage internal conflict, damaged vital relations with Iraq and Iran, helped unleash a flood of millions of Syrian refugees into Turkey, created domestic unrest, damaged the economy and pushed ErdoÄŸan into a distasteful embrace with Riyadh against Assad.

"ErdoÄŸan's Kurdish ties are now everywhere at risk: in Turkey, Iraq and Syria."

In doing so, ErdoÄŸan has been forced to turn an ever-blinder eye to the extremism of Islamist forces operating against Assad in Syria, including ISIS itself. While having little real sympathy for ISIS, ErdoÄŸan has nonetheless tolerated it. In the end, he preferred strengthening ISIS against Damascus than deepening Turkish ties with the Kurds -- Turkey's natural regional partners for the future.

This Turkish policy has greatly embittered most Kurds against Turkey, especially in Syria. ErdoÄŸan's Kurdish ties are now everywhere at risk: in Turkey, Iraq and Syria. Only the event of a serious terrorist ISIS attack a few days ago on Turkish soil (targeting mostly Kurds), forced ErdoÄŸan to reconsider this relationship. As a result ErdoÄŸan has reluctantly bowed to U.S. pressure to take a tougher position against ISIS. There is actually little love in Turkey at all for ISIS except among a very small minority of radical fundamentalists. Here too, ErdoÄŸan still seems to lack a conceptual compass on these strategic issues.

A third driver is the U.S. nuclear deal with Iran. This momentous agreement will be changing the face of Middle Eastern geopolitics. It has raised the stakes for Ankara, making it clear that it can now ill afford to ignore Iran. Yet this should not be a serious problem for Turkey: the first decade of AKP rule saw good working relations with Tehran, and Turkey has basically avoided ideologically championing Middle Eastern Sunnis in any sectarian struggle. This is where ErdoÄŸan's unholy alliance with Riyadh against Syria had begun to push him in a dangerous sectarian direction that contradicts nearly all of Turkey's national interests, including ties with Iran. Ankara's recent air operations against ISIS shows some signs now of pulling back from this egregious strategic error, even as Riyadh itself has come to fear feeding ISIS any further.

"The fact is, an Assad regime for the moment is a far better option than continuing civil war and the continuing growth of extremist jihadi forces of ISIS and al-Qaeda."

In short, primarily for domestic political reasons, but also due to foreign pressures from the U.S., Iran and Iraq, Ankara is now wavering in its strategic directions. It would be wise if it joins Iran, Russia, China, Oman and probably now the U.S. in seeking a political solution in Damascus that will lead to Assad's eventual resignation but not a toppling of the present regime.

But the implications of Obama's agreement with Ankara to establish a buffer zone in Syria along the Turkish border is disturbing; it now may drag the U.S. deeper into local ground wars and coordination with bad Turkish policies. The fact is, an Assad regime for the moment is a far better option than continuing civil war and the continuing growth of extremist jihadi forces of ISIS and al-Qaeda who are ideally positioned to eventually eliminate moderate Islamic opposition forces against Assad.

A potential Turkish coalition government that combines the AKP (with its plurality) and a left-of-center Republican Peoples Party, plus the new liberal Kurdish Party, would seem to offer the healthiest mixture to oversee Turkish foreign policy in these exceptionally troubled and complex times. ErdoÄŸan's vaulting ambitions and increasing loss of judgment and statesmanship will best be neutralized in such a coalition. Despite the emotionalism around the Kurdish issue, a new generation of a Turkish electorate is unlikely to opt for a politician who seeks greater confrontation in the region, especially as a tool for his own ambitions.

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Kenya at a Crossroad: Can the Country Learn From President Obama's Visit And The Trajectory of His Life?

Overlooked in the frenzied excitement over President Obama's visit to his father's birthplace is the inconvenient reality: That long after the sheen from hosting the world's most powerful man is gone, Kenyans will return to the hustle and bustle of their daily lives in a society facing a fork in the road towards its future. It is a reality succinctly described in Duncan Omanga's piece in the Daily Nation. Mr. Omanga writes that Mr. Obama's trip comes at a time when Kenya "...is seized with serious social, economic, and structural challenges" even as some see the visit "....as an opportunity to solve some (of these) protracted.... challenges."

To Mr. Omanga's analysis I would add that if these challenges are not addressed in a timely manner, the country runs the risk of revisiting the PEV chaos of 2007/2008 and a repeat of its underwhelming performance of the 70s and 80s when it had social and economic development fundamentals/indicators that were comparable to those of the Four Asian Tigers (Singapore, Taiwan, Hong Kong & South Korea) only to be left far behind by all four countries decades later.

After President Obama's visit, Kenyans will return to life in a country whose recent past belies the euphoria and jingoism surrounding the visit.

Less than a decade ago, Kenyans overcame ethnic violence of near-genocidal proportion after the disputed elections of 2007. They then elected as their president and deputy president, two individuals - Uhuru Kenyatta and William Ruto - who were facing crimes-against-humanity charges at The Hague. In a deft stroke of political genius, Mr. Uhuru Kenyatta morphed the hitherto "personal challenges" characterization of his charges into a "western attack against Pan-Africanism" in the process rallying leaders of the African Union against the international court (ICC). Mr. Kenyatta thus turned Johnnie Carson's "choices have consequences" warning on its head even as Kenya enjoyed sustained economic growth.

There is little doubt that President Obama's three-day visit to Kenya (to co-host the first Global Entrepreneur Summit (GES) in sub-Saharan Africa) has burnished the country's battered image and that of former crimes-against-humanity suspect Uhuru Kenyatta. Add the massive media exposure (any time POTUS travels abroad) to the country's resilience as illustrated above and it becomes readily apparent why "Africa/Kenya is on the move."

Seemingly (conveniently?) ignored in the triumphalism making the rounds among Kenyatta's supporters is the other side of the fork in the road: A country still steeped in the "rot" that is corruption, cronyism and incompetence at the highest level of its government not to mention ethnic chauvinism and hatred left to run amok. Finally and protestations (of Kenyans On Twitter - KOT) aside, Kenya IS and will continue to be "a hotbed of terror" thanks to the afore-mentioned dysfunction, fissures and incompetence.

From Mr. Moses Kuria's repeated proclivity for blatant and spiteful vitriol to allegations of yet another member of President Kenyatta's inner circle - Devolution Cabinet Secretary Ann Waiguru - being implicated in financial malfeasance, the cohesion and civility of Kenya's socio-political fabric and the quality of its governance has stagnated and now shows signs of regressing back to the lost decades of the eighties and nineties aptly referred to as the "Moi Error." Likewise, from the abuse of power AND misappropriation of public funds by officials such as Kisumu Governor Jack Ranguma to the on-going war against al-Shabaab, the youth bulge and wealth gap, Kenya's list of social, economic and structural challenges is extensive even as the stakes have never been higher.

The recent scandals involving President Kenyatta's acolytes and various elected officials throughout the country are symptomatic of one half of the direst of challenges facing Kenya. The other half is extremist-fueled violence and insecurity as seen in Westgate, Mpeketoni, Lamu and Garissa. And if Kenyans have not realized it, the two halves feed off one another!

The harsh reality is that tribal animus, corruption and insecurity are not going to go away just because President Obama visits his father's birthplace and talks about them. Only Kenyans can confront and address these issues; something they have been loath do.

As hyperbolic as this may sound, once Obama Jr. departs a land whose post-independence leadership frustrated and drove his late father Obama Sr. to drink, Kenyans would have come face-to-face with the full power and might of an office occupied by a man they would have dismissed and maligned if not destroyed given their country's longstanding history of battles for political supremacy between its tribes and political assassinations of those seen as threats to the ruling government: The latter befalling Tom Mboya, Obama Sr.'s benefactor and fellow Luo, allegedly on the orders of an unnamed "big man."

If ever there was an interesting and instructive juxtaposition of circumstances, it would be the visit by Obama Jr, a man who against all odds became the two-term president of the world's remaining superpower, to Kenya, the birthplace of his father and a country whose leadership openly mocked and frustrated both father and son!

Given the afore-mentioned fork in the road, Kenya's history AND the many major challenges facing the country, it will be interesting to see what lessons, if any, the country and its people, especially the youth, draw, not only from the 3-day visit of the part-Kenyan Luo and America's 44th president, but from the trajectory of his life.